Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 0.009650 0.011547 0.013876 0.017005 0.021184 0.026712 0.034823
2025-03-09 0.007119 0.009230 0.012147 0.016647 0.023781 0.035400 0.057704
2025-03-16 0.005984 0.008185 0.011479 0.017106 0.027308 0.047199 0.097009
2025-03-23 0.005158 0.007327 0.010769 0.017121 0.029953 0.059238 0.154824
2025-03-30 0.004439 0.006473 0.009835 0.016393 0.030777 0.068074 0.223391
2025-04-06 0.003946 0.005886 0.009212 0.016038 0.032217 0.079922 0.342350
2025-04-13 0.003653 0.005582 0.009015 0.016462 0.035730 0.102089 0.644567
2025-04-20 0.003485 0.005460 0.009122 0.017563 0.041713 0.142695 1.694866
2025-04-27 0.003297 0.005273 0.009064 0.018266 0.047084 0.192908 5.602016
2025-05-04 0.003070 0.004984 0.008748 0.018246 0.050154 0.239867 22.979337
2025-05-11 0.002872 0.004725 0.008453 0.018202 0.053218 0.299037 368.396693
2025-05-18 0.002665 0.004427 0.008030 0.017702 0.054241 0.347792 NaN
2025-05-25 0.002426 0.004066 0.007467 0.016818 0.053843 0.393792 NaN
2025-06-01 0.002250 0.003812 0.007116 0.016489 0.056042 0.497781 NaN
2025-06-08 0.002142 0.003684 0.007030 0.016943 0.062744 0.763253 NaN
2025-06-15 0.002022 0.003517 0.006825 0.016957 0.067334 1.099177 NaN
2025-06-22 0.001877 0.003285 0.006430 0.016239 0.066996 1.308746 NaN
2025-06-29 0.001766 0.003113 0.006162 0.015888 0.068905 1.742630 NaN
2025-07-06 0.001701 0.003034 0.006114 0.016307 0.076922 3.249657 NaN
2025-07-13 0.001669 0.003022 0.006233 0.017393 0.092357 10.442003 NaN
2025-07-20 0.001622 0.002971 0.006245 0.018087 0.106450 47.211578 NaN
2025-07-27 0.001553 0.002866 0.006093 0.018068 0.113816 251.223860 NaN
2025-08-03 0.001488 0.002766 0.005945 0.018025 0.121351 23575.275202 NaN